Exploring the conflict blind spots in climate adaptation finance: Synthesis report

This report investigates whether and how climate adaptation programmes have incorporated conflict sensitivity in fragile and conflict-affected situations (FCSs). It identifies two major “conflict blind spots” in adaptation finance: the limited integration of conflict risk into programme design and the barriers to scaling finance in volatile contexts.

Drawing on donor approaches in the Sahel and Horn of Africa, and case studies from Mali, Somalia, and Sudan, the analysis highlights persistent gaps in linking climate change to conflict and fragility.

Findings reveal insufficient donor strategies, limited expertise, and weak incentives to cultivate capacity at the climate–conflict nexus. Recommendations include embedding conflict sensitivity across donor policies and guidance, strengthening inclusive local participation, and adopting flexible operational protocols to respond to unforeseen events.

To expand adaptation finance in FCSs, the report calls for improved donor coordination, revised modalities, stronger public financial management, and tailored access to multilateral climate funds.